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Preparation for a low energy future

Monday, January 15, 2007 10:52 PM
First a couple of links I find intriguing . Primitive ways is a website that will teach you so many great survival skills. As you know I read Ran Prieur often, and following other bloggers from there I have begun following I, bonobo, a 37 year old woman in Eugene who's anti-civ thoughts are pretty interesting - this is definitely not for everyone.

I have written a little piece about alternative energy. I'm a little wacked out tonight for no reason except the weird sleep yesterday, so the essay wanders about a bit, but I think it has some value. See if it does for you. I'll move it to the future part of the blog tomorrow, but I'm done for the day chicks. Tomorrow it is clean la Casa Blanca to make room to put together the new solar panels that TJ sent down from Oregon.
On a local note the Burger King was closed this morning with yellow tape and no explanation all around the premises. We were forced to move to ugh, where is there to go but down, and I though we were already at the bottome, Mcdonalds. Jeez. So no 8 am coffee run for me tomorrow. But if usual Q rats see this tomorrow morning, I'm filling up the french press about 10:00am (assuming all water and pipes remain unfrozen) for a cup of coffee. I hope to have 3 additional amps flowing by noon.
Night chickies. It is cold again here in the desert and all the bunnies in their burrows are wishing they were in Cabo.

Wind and Solar

I think that these two alternative energies represent the two best energy choices in a low energy future. Both are carbon free, meaning the release none of the earth's dwindling store of top soil, fossil fuels or even of “carbon neutral” biomass. Trees, shrubs, agricultural waste when processed to release energy (like made into ethanol, compressed into pellets for a stove are considered carbon neutral because they only release the carbon that the stored from CO2 as live plants. So there is no net gain or loss. Wind and solar have are also “carbon neutral” in the same sense. They neither store or release carbon, but rather both rely on the same energy that plants use, the sun. It is odd to think that wind too is solar energy, but it is. The sun heats areas of the earth's atmosphere at different rates and this fuels the movement of warm and cold air currents around the globe. When you build a wind generator to turn that air movement into electrical energy, you have just really stored solar energy. Of course when you look at carbon fuel sources like oil, natural gas, coal, peat, etc. you are just looking at old solar energy that was stored over millions of years. Burning a million years of carbon in just 100 years is at the bottom of almost all our problems. As that CO2 has been out of circulation for a long time, but now we have dumped it all into the atmosphere, all at once, and we are paying the price with rising global temperatures. What we didn't use for fuel we use for fertizler which allows us to increase our human herd density to 5 to 10 times what the earth can sustain on a daily energy basis without taking equity (carbon equity) from our earth bank. Oh, and as you remember half the oil and natural gas are gone and our top soil account is nearly overdrawn.

I bring this up not as a collapse rant, but rather to make the point that it is NEVER worthwhile to compare the costs of carbon fueled electricity with hydro, sun, or wind. You burn an irreplaceable substance, that there is less of every day when you flip a switch in your house. You are ending our world as you know it every time you use electricity, and then to say that solar and wind are not competitive on a cost basis? What is the cost basis of something that cannot be replaced and is running out? ONLY renewable energy sources, carbon neutral, should be compared head to head. REally it is the same a saying you have a soup that costs 1 penny per gallon, and then comparing it to other soups that 1.00 gallon. Only at the end do you tell us that every gallon of 1 penny soup reduces oxygen by 1 percent and that will all die of oxygen deprivation in a week but hey, ain't it cheap? Do you see the electricity from fossil fuels is not electricity is is just OIL burning.
Don't get me started.

If you get out of the cheap energy I don't care what happens to anyone else mode and compare only power that comes from no carbon based sources you have nuclear, hydro, solar, wind, and possibly a little bio diesel – but right now straight vegetable oil (SVO) is easily produced from rape seed which uses more fertilizer (made from natural gas, which is in the same plight as oil) than is returned in the burning of the fuel. I read 8 times the amount of natural gas energy in fertilizer than you get back in SVO. You can make a case for some small amount of wood gas energy from carbon wastes, but you're still burning future top soil which is decreasing at suicidal rates for our planet.

So lets limit ourselves tonight to nuclear, hydro, solar and wind for the moment. Geothermal should be in there but it is beyond the home preparation level so I have skipped it. Which brings us to nuclear. I think, I hope that you are not capable of building a small nuclear reactor, so that leaves us with the three energy sources that are most often discussed in magazines such as Homepower; hydro, wind, and solar.

The most dependable of the three is small hydro, and it is very suitable if you have property with a full time flow of water that has say 10 or 15 feet of drop over the length of your property. I will leave that one for Gary to write about one day. The reason I don't like it is that there are very few places that have that water and drop in my world of the western USA. More importantly the power is completely dependent on the place and not mobile. As you know I live a gypsy live style and I need my power production to move with me. That leaves me with two choices (and most of you too), wind or solar.

My bias is solar and my problem is that six months of the year I'm in Oregon. At first that would seem to be a solar negative for those six months, but as with all generalizations, most people think it rains all the time in western Oregon, when in fact it rains a lot for 7 months and almost not at all for 5 months. Or at least all that was true before the weather went nuts (global warming disturbances, El Nino?). So for me, 11 months of the year I have adequate power (but I would like a little more please.).

When the wind is blowing like mad here in the desert I always feel like I'm missing energy – there it goes – watts and watts and amp-hours flying by making dust soup. It could be charging my batteries.
Here is what stops me.
Today on ebay, this week, you can buy a 64 amp uinsolar triple junction thin film panel that is pretty good in cloudy weather as well as sun for $288 if you'll pick it up in Yuma.
One quick side note. In a capitalist society everyone has a spin on their products, even the alternative energy people. Meaning both the solar and the wind people lie about the amount of power produced. Solar people lie by giving amperage or wattage numbers based on near freezing temperatures with the sun directly overhead (meaning you live at the equator). Wind people lie in a sweet way by saying things like 10 amps at 19 mph. Take a look at wind speed maps. See any 19mph areas on average. NO.

So only by building your own system and seeing how to tend it for maximum energy yield can you be ready and able to supply your own power.
Still lets compare based on what I have learned living off the gird for eight years with solar.
I have 25 possible amps that could come from the 5 solar panels on top of my trailer. For that to happen I have to be very cold (today and yesterday are very good for solar), and on the equator. It is bad to be counting on solar in December and January because the sun is so low in the sky.
What I really get, with my batteries about 1/3 to ½ drained in the morning is 16 amps at 1 pm here in the desert, near the Mexican border in AZ, January 15th. As the sun climbs over the next few months I'll increase to a daily high of about 20 amps.
So on any given day in this month I get about 6 hours of really good sun angle at 14 amps or greater and a few amps for a few hours on each side of that. So I'm gathering about 90 amp-hours per day now. December was about 85 amp-hours.
Wind I have less experience with but a very good real wind generator which lies the least is this one (insert link) and it produces 2 amps for $1000 worth of wind generator (which does not include the tower, wire, charge controller or batteries) at 9 mph. At 19mph it produces 10 amps. Here in Q it blows like hell sometimes but I have estimated that even in a week that is considered windy here, you have less than 25 hours of wind above 15 mph. And that only occurs three or four times in the entire season down here. There is a little wind often, but not even enough to make the 2 amps. So I estimate the wind as much more consistent than it is and say there are 5 hours per week of 10amp 19mph wind, that is only 50 amp-week or 7 amp-hours per day. For $1000???
I could by 3 panels at 288 per panel and have money left over. At 5 amps per panel I expect I will really get 3 amps per panel only 6 hours per day – which would be 18 times 3 or 54 amp-hours per day, or 378 amp-hours per week.
That is why I don't have a wind generator.
But even at that, I have trouble letting go of wind. If I could salvage everything needed to build a few wind generators at no cost at all, except time, I keep thinking maybe.
I think that thing that drives me crazy about wind is that it is such a simple concept. wind spins propellers, that turn a generator or salvage car alternator and you are energy rich. The devil is in the details with wind. Here are just a few of the problems:
Tall tower. The wind generator needs to be up high.
The tall tower means long copper runs which means thick (expensive, not so easy to get a salvage) copper wire.
Wind speeds too fast are lost, wind speeds too slow are lost.
Wind comes from different directions which becomes an engineering problem with more power loss or maintanence (slip rings for instance).
Lots of moving parts to break, make noise, kill birds, irritate the neighbors.

Compare that with solar. No moving parts. The panels are warranted for 25 years but really they are almost forever technology. My 1972 panel is putting out pretty much what it did when new. It is 34 years old. I would like to see a wind generator bearing that lasted 10 years let alone 30.

So solar it is for me. Portable, quiet, doesn't announce itself to the world, durable and almost maintenance free. I hear you, I understand, there is not enough oil to make enough panels for everyone. Hell there's not enough oil to keep making food for everyone. So mayhe what I'm suggesting is that it would be a good idea if YOU, not everyone, got their panels now. Not later. Why not? Walmart has a Request for bid out to put panels on every walmart. This is megawatts of panels, hundreds of megawatts. There is not enough solar cell construction capability to supply that many cells right now. So I'm guessing it is going to get really hard to get panels if they actually go through with the plan.

Check ebay for the unisolars on sale in Yuma. Solar panels are better than gold under the bed, which is pretty damn good too.

I would love to hear from wind people if I have missed something.

mcnalan loving solar trying to justify wind.

Monday, January 15, 2007 1:30 PM
All that is frozen is as before waiting to freeze again tonight. However I have the technique down so I think I will not have to be a moment to moment participant. Early this morning I rereading some of the things Gary had sent me and there was one line - to parapharse- that he doesn't care what I publish because people think he a little wacked anyway. Later in a synchronous juncture of multiple inputs, I was loaned a Tom Robins' novel to read. On the opening page of the first chapter there is a Hindu verse which reads:

Sometimes naked
sometimes mad
Now the scholar
now the fool
Thus they appear on earth:
The free men.

Anyone who is doing other than watching Oprah and being counseled by Phil, is going to appear mad to the other inmates. Conform, it is what you are supposed to do. If you will not conform then you are mad, perhaps a fool, and maybe you are becoming, a work in progress, a free chicken.

Monday, January 15, 2007 5:10 AM
I'm up dealing with almost frozen everything. The trailer and bed are warm enough but I'm trying to keep my pipes from freezing. Around 8pm the fight should be over and I'm going to head into town for coffee at Burger King and then off to the errands I mention below. Why Burger King, because it is heated!

The freeze continues here in the desert. Record cold temperatures are winning against my desire not to have my pipes freeze in the Safari Airstream. Since I'm in the desert with no water hook ups, only my water tank and pump provides the pressure. I froze one line yesterday at about 7 am, and got up and thawed it out with warm water. I also ran an incandescent light drop light from an inverter running off the battery bank and kept the pump and associated lines from freezing. This morning at 3am I got up and checked and the line to the toilet is once again frozen, so it is quite a bit colder than yesterday morning. Sorry about not blogging yesterday, but I've been pretty much trapped by the cold weather and went out to collect twigs for tree identification when the temperature almost hit 50 degrees at 3pm.

TJ has been tracking the solar panels he sent me and they arrived Friday at Scott's Dustyfoot so I'm going to go find them after breakfast. That means firing up the truck, and well, you know me, I won't run the truck unless I do all the truck activities - fill water tank, pick up grocery, get the panels, and possibly later in the day, pump and transport the black water tank.
I'm anxious to get the new panels up as right now I'm using battery energy to heat the rear compartment under the tub where the water pump and lines reside. That is kind of stupid, and I only do it in emergencies (2 other times in 6 years). So I guess I'm in a cold emergency. The extra panels will give me more power to work with. There is supposed to be one more night of this, freezing. I'm tired of it, but it extends well south into Mexico, so I guess everyone in the southern deserts are in the same boat, frozen snowbirds.
For myself, I hate being up at this time of the morning. I don't like working this shift at work because of how lousy I feel up at 3am.
I did get the Barstick sanded at 220 grit and put another coat of varnish on it. I will do just a bit more on the stick, a little wire wrap for strength and possibly a twine top grip and I'm done with it.


Saturday, January 13, 2007 10:31 PM

One of you sent this to me tonight and since it fits so well with the focus of my essay this morning, I thought I would share it with all the blog readers. No pictures today, too cold out there, so snuggle up and be brave chicklets the sun will come back, the snow will stop, and I will get back to tanning soonest.Nite free chickens, someone is listening to you.

The following is the philosophy of Charles Schultz, the creator of the "Peanuts" comic strip. You don't have to actually answer the questions. Just read the e-mail straight through, and you'll get the point.
1. Name the five wealthiest people in the world.
2. Name the last five Heisman trophy winners.
3. Name the last five winners of the Miss America Contest.
4. Name ten people who have won the Nobel or Pulitzer Prize.
5. Name the last half dozen Academy Award winners for best actor and actress.
6. Name the last decade's worth of World Series winners.

How did you do?
The point is, none of us remember the headliners of yesterday. These are no second-rate achievers. They are the best in their fields. But the applause dies. Awards tarnish. Achievements are forgotten. Accolades and certificates are buried with their owners.

Here's another quiz. See how you do on this one:
1. List a few teachers who aided your journey through school.
2. Name three friends who have helped you through a difficult time.
3. Name five people who have taught you something worthwhile.
4. Think of a few people who have made you feel appreciated and special.
5. Think of five people you enjoy spending time with

Easier?
The lesson: The people who make a difference in your life are not the ones with the most credentials, the most money, or the most awards. They are the ones that care.

Saturday, January 13, 2007 12:26 PM
Wow it was cold last night. Here's this morning's thoughts chickies. It is based loosely on emails that Gary sent me recently, and on conversations I had with him four years ago. plus my own observations, of course. It's titled Self, Family, Tribe, and will reside in the preparation section.

Self, Family, Tribe

A set of first steps, first thinking:
It is easy to become lost in the confusion of preparation. Preparation for what? When? Who knows? What to do? Of course the easy answer is wait until we see what it comes. Well shit, I'll do nothing at all then because there is nothing to do. I support you in that, but there are a few things you can do now. The first is a change of perspective. That is what I want to talk about today. Getting selfish, getting focused on you and yours, and beginning to think about your future neighbors.

Self.
We are taught in the Anglo Judeo-Christian ethic to sacrifice self. This goes directly against the instructions they give you on the airplane. In event that the oxygen masks come down, put yours on first, so that you may then assist others. Yes, that's the thing to do. Our programming of self sacrifice works only if your goal is self sacrifice, and then because of your sacrifice, others you love are not helped. So you must put it in your mind that you will first protect, save, and remove yourself from danger.

There is a line that always comes back to me from the “The Last of the Mohicans” with Daniel Day-Lewis (think I got that right), where he yells to his love who will be taken by the Huron's in just a moment, “Stay alive, no matter what, no matter what you must do, stay alive and I will find you!” You are only useful to your family, close ones, and tribe if you are alive. You do have some significant fertilizer value, but I would prefer to use all your many talents. . .
Read more by clicking here.

Friday, January 12, 2007 4:39 PM
Hey it's Friday! I just saw that when Dreamweaver put the date in on my blog. I never know what day it is and really don't need to except that Herb's Hardware is closed on Sunday. The desert knows no days. Yea that sounds good. With that, here is an an email that Phil Churchill wrote in reply to a reader's question.

I received an e-mail recently from one of Alan's readers and he asked this question, "Do you think that maybe you as well as Alan are spending way too much energy preparing for something that in all likelyhood will never happen?". This is a valid question and I will attempt to answer it.  Read more by clicking here!

As you know today was spoke hunting day, as my rear wheel to my bicycle will not arrive for eight more days. I have become very dependent and attached to "not driving the truck," and having the bicycle out of commission would mean no runs to coffee, no runs to the grocery store, and no tools shopping. Worst of all, I've become dependent on the range that it gives me and I can explore as much as I want. So, my goal was to buy 10 new spokes, close to the original broken ones and fix the wheel. This is always considered a bad idea because if 8 spokes are broken in a 32 spoke wheel then the other 24 have been weakened. I agree with that philosophy, but I only need it to last until the new wheel arrives, and besides I promised myself I wouldn't go out jumping off things with the weakened repaired wheel.
The first step began yesterday, trying to locate the spokes in an unpopulated part of the state. I know Yuma has bicycle stores, but the closest to me here is in Parker. Before leaving this morning I followed a lead from Ed M and checked out a semi permanent junk tent on North Main, east side, you know, over by the Brazilian restaurant and the General Market. I brought my spoke to match spoke lengths in care I found anything close, and pictures below tell the rest of the story.

I found a wheel, tire and tube for $20 at the junk tent. I came back to Casa Blanca, and began the disassembly. The power screwdriver was a big time saver. I actually liked the rear tire that came with the used wheel (see below).
Here is my used wheel completely dissembled: rim, spokes, nipples, hub, tire and tube.I put my current new semi knobby tire aside, used the new tube from my exiting wheel - puncture resistant with greem slime already installed. Above: Barstick is resting as the second coat of Varathane gets hard enough to move to 400 grit sanding.
I removed the broken spokes and replaced the broken eight with 8 of the spokes above, bending them to get them in as I don't have the flywheel removal tool here. I straightened them out and matched the pattern. I did not touch the old spokes until after all eight of the new spokes were tightened equal to the old spokes. More important than perfectly straight and true is that the spokes have equal tension in order to spread the load to all the drive spokes. My kind of bicycle engine delivers the power to the wheel through the spokes, not the sprockets.

Here it is together with the new used tire, shiny new spokes, disc rotor reinstalled and the drive gear reinstalled on the spokes. This is a knobbier tire than what I had on before and I found later in testing that it is much more stable with the extra grip.

The is not perfectly true but functioned fine over a ten mile ride. I will readjust the spoke tension tomorrow and true the wheel a bit better as newer spokes will have seated on the ride. No broken spokes when I checked at the end of the day.


There are many hidden areas in every flat desert vista. This was an interesting area south of my route on the way back from petroglyph hill. The cactus is much older than the ironwood surrounding.


After getting the wheel mounted back on the bicycle I headed back to the desert to do some exploring. Above, I found a large undisturbed desert "pavement" with large igneous bubble filled rocks. Looks like cartoon meteorites. The bicycle functioned well but the ride back at 4pm was getting cold. There is a wind coming down from the north which is bringing the coldest weather of the year to Q, starting tonight.

All in all a successful day except for laundry (didn't do it). I spent more than I planned on breakfast, I got the whopper junior with cheese and that pushed the senior coffee burger meal to $1.92.

 

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© not 2003-2007. You may use any part of this website without needing any permission. However, be warned, these thoughts are part of an infectious, contagious meme that may incite others to eat you for lunch some day.